报告题目：Evaluating strategies for tuberculosis in China to achieve the goals of WHO based on an age-structure model
报告人：薛玲教授 (哈尔滨工程大学)
报告时间：2022年4月7日上午9:00-10:00
报告形式：腾讯会议ID：633-675-319
内容简介：Although great progress has been made in the prevention and mitigation of TB in the past 20 years, China is still the third largest contributor to the global burden of new TB cases, accounting for 833,000 new cases in 2019. Improved mitigation strategies, such as vaccines, diagnostics, and treatment, are needed to meet goals of WHO. Given the huge variability in the prevalence of TB across age groups in China, the vaccination, diagnostic techniques and treatment for different age groups may have different effects. Moreover, the data of TB cases show significant seasonal fluctuations in China. In this talk, I present a non-autonomous differential equation model with age structure and seasonal transmission rate. Our results show that vaccinating susceptible individuals whose ages are over 65 and between 20 and 24 is much more effective in reducing prevalence of TB. Although the improved strategies will significantly reduce the incidence rate of TB, it is challenging to achieve the goal of WHO by 2050.
报告人简介：薛玲，哈尔滨工程大学数学科学学院教授，博士生导师，生物数学团队学科带头人，黑龙江省工程与应用重点实验室副主任。 2013年在美国堪萨斯州立大学获得博士学位，2014-2016年，在美国杜兰大学数学系与数学计算科学中心，从事博士后研究工作, 合作导师 James. Mac Hyman教授；2016-2017年，受到加拿大太平洋数学研究院和加拿大曼尼托巴大学数学系的联合资助，在加拿大曼尼托巴大学数学系与Julien Arino以及Felicia Magpantay共同合作研究。在 J. Diff. Equation, SIAM J. Appl. Math., PloS Neglected Tropical Diseases、Bulletin of Mathematical Biology、Journal of Theoretical Biology、Mathematical Biosciences等杂志发表SCI论文20余篇、参与编写了Springer出版社的专著《Mathematical modeling for emerging and re-emerging infectious diseases》。
（撰稿人：吕云飞；审稿人：郭永峰）
数学科学学院
2022年4月1日